Re: Is coalition the best strategy for Nigeria’s beleaguered opposition?, by Engr. Bello Gwarzo Abdullahi, FNSE
The discourse articulated by Malam Aminu Jahun in the National Record of 26 March 2025 delves deeply into the fundamental question of whether a coalition represents the most effective strategy for Nigeria’s beleaguered opposition.
It sheds light on the significant challenges faced by the opposition in a political landscape dominated by a ruling party and a fragmented opposition. The necessity for a strategic approach to counter the entrenched power of the ruling party is emphasized, underscoring the importance of a thorough and unbiased analysis of the obstacles hindering opposition progress.
Aminu Jahun’s perceptive analysis brings to light the significance of Atiku Abubakar’s bold decision to establish a coalition of opposition parties to challenge the APC in the upcoming 2027 elections. This decision injected a renewed sense of dynamism and potential transformation into Nigerian politics, signaling a possible shift in the established political hierarchy. However, the complexities associated with maintaining momentum and navigating potential state interference due to the diverse composition of coalition parties pose significant challenges that must be overcome.
Drawing from Nigeria’s political history, the track record of unsuccessful pre-election coalitions raises doubts about the effectiveness of such alliances compared to more cohesive amalgamations like the APC. While mergers offer a united front and streamlined decision-making processes, they come at the cost of relinquishing individual party identities and leadership roles. The looming threat of state interference and the potential emergence of a one-party autocracy underscore the urgent need for a cohesive and consolidated opposition strategy.
The reluctance of certain opposition leaders to embrace innovative strategies and move away from traditional party affiliations presents a substantial obstacle to forming a robust opposition front. A strategic coalition that encompasses influential parties with significant subnational reach, such as the PDP and LP, is proposed as a potent force to challenge the ruling party’s dominance. The deliberate delays in registering new parties by INEC are perceived as a tactic aimed at stifling opposition growth, potentially leading to a legal dispute for a fair and equitable political playing field.
As the opposition gears up for the upcoming 2027 election, the primary focus should be on fostering unity against the APC’s stronghold and addressing potential state interference. By anticipating the reactions of the ruling party and adjusting their strategy accordingly, the opposition can capitalize on the element of surprise to their advantage.
The intricate interplay between coalition-building, strategic timing, and a profound understanding of the opponent’s tactics is crucial in formulating a robust opposition strategy that can effectively challenge the ruling party’s grip on power.
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